Insights for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
New York Stock Exchange: NGVC
04 - Tracking Well with Low profitability

Industry: Groceries
Based on PEG Ratio: Unknown
Today's Price
updated on:
38.42 (0.39%)
Open 38.29 (0.34%)
High (Upside %) 39.33 (2.37%)
Low (Downside %) 38.2147 (0.54%)
P. Close 38.27 (0.39%)
Open-High % 2.72%
Open-Low % 0.2%
Low-High % 2.92%
Active Buy Quantity 0
Active Sell Quantity 0
% Overtraded
Current Mood bearish
Previous Data
data from:
Open-High % 1.77%
Open-Low % 1.49%
Low-High % 3.31%
Open-Close % 0.13%
Low-Close % 1.65%
High-Close % 1.61%

NGVC is a Stock listed in the US on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker 'NGVC'

Company Summary

Business Units or Product Lines

Natural Grocers operates primarily through its retail stores which offer natural and organic groceries, body care products, and dietary supplements. Their product lines include Grocery, Produce, Meat & Seafood, Dairy, Nutritional Supplements, and Body Care.

Business Models for Each Product Line

Revenue is primarily generated through the sale of products across its retail locations as well as through e-commerce. Major expenses include cost of goods sold, operational expenses such as store leases, wages, and marketing.

Future Opportunities for Growth

Potential growth opportunities include expanding store count in underserved markets, enhancing e-commerce capabilities, and increasing private-label product offerings to leverage brand loyalty and higher margins.

Potential Major Risks

Major risks include competition from other natural and organic food retailers, changes in consumer preferences toward natural products, supply chain disruptions, and potential increases in product and operational costs due to regulatory changes.

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Also read: https://finance.yahoo.com/NGVC/profile

Predicted Prices
Key Low (open) Low (high) Close-Down (open) Close-Down (high) Close-Up (open) Close-Up (low) High (open) High (low)
Low Volatility 38.19
43.4% hit
38.55
56.74% hit
37.92
19.97% hit
39.13
50.63% hit
38.45
18.78% hit
38.33
48.84% hit
38.58
44.39% hit
38.99
56.74% hit
Average Volatility 37.42
31.06% hit
37.74
34.24% hit
37.11
16.06% hit
38.36
33.11% hit
38.89
15.06% hit
38.88
33.18% hit
39.14
30.33% hit
39.83
34.24% hit
High Volatility 35.1
3.65% hit
35.63
2.52% hit
35.36
3.12% hit
36.28
3.45% hit
40.72
2.46% hit
40.83
2.99% hit
41.25
2.72% hit
42.18
2.52% hit

NGVC's predicted prices using open from of 38.29 and data until date . Current Price is 38.42

Basic Stats
Market Cap-Display Market Cap-Actual Market Cap Enterprise Value-Display Enterprise Value-Actual Enterprise Value Trailing P/E Forward P/E Price/Sales Price/Book Enterprise Value/Revenue Enterprise Value/EBITDA Profit Margin Operating Margin Return on Assets Return on Equity Revenue-Display Revenue-Actual Revenue Quarterly Revenue Growth EBITDA-Display EBITDA-Actual EBITDA Diluted EPS Quarterly Earnings Growth Total Cash-Display Total Cash-Actual Total Cash Total Debt-Display Total Debt-Actual Total Debt Total Debt/Equity Current Ratio Operating Cash Flow-Display Operating Cash Flow-Actual Operating Cash Flow Levered Free Cash Flow-Display Levered Free Cash Flow-Actual Levered Free Cash Flow % Held by Insiders % Held by Institutions
880.0 mn 878311808.0 0.88 1.19 B 1192665984.0 1.19 21.5 46.67 0.68 4.55 0.92 13.1 3.18% 5.24% 5.46% 23.38% 1.3 B 1297732992.0 1.3 9.0% 90.0 mn 91023000.0 0.09 1.78 64.6% 20.0 mn 21209000.0 0.02 340.0 mn 335564000.0 0.34 1.7389 0.97 70.0 mn 73657000.0 0.07 40.0 mn 37703248.0 0.04 44.37% 36.83%

source:https://finance.yahoo.com/NGVC/key-statistics

Upside-Downside Spread
Key Weighted 5D 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 10Y
Upside % (high) 23.75% 3.93% (39.93) 6.67% (40.9811) 59.34% (61.22) 59.34% (61.22) 59.34% (61.22) 59.34% (61.22) 59.34% (61.22)
Downside % (low) 7.98% 4.11% (36.84) 4.11% (36.84) 6.64% (35.87) 8.9% (35) 42.37% (22.141) 79.18% (8) 87.53% (4.79)
Spread % 15.77% -0.18% 2.55% 52.71% 50.44% 16.97% -19.83% -28.19%

NGVC's price used for computing the stats is 38.42 as on date

Cumulative Return Percent
Key Today 5D 2W 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 10Y
Last Price-Trend PrevClose 0.39% -3.9% -2.56% -3.54% -21.24% -5.49% 46.14% 124.55% 70.45%
Last Price 38.42 38.42 38.42 38.42 38.42 38.42 38.42 38.42 38.42
Trend-Previous Close 38.27 39.98 39.43 39.83 48.78 40.65 26.29 17.11 22.54

NGVC's symbol cumulative return percent is computed basis data from date

Return Velocity
5D 2W 1M 3M 6M 1Y
5D window
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -5.51% 37.78 -4.95% 38.0 1.38% 36.95 38.6
Up 0.34% 40.12 0% 39.98 0.54% 39.79 40.44
Down -7.0% 37.18 -7.55% 36.96 1.17% 36.48 37.88
5D Opportunity:
returns: -3.9% (-8.75%), p.close: 39.98
entry: 36.48, exit: 36.95, min.ret: 1.28%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -2.45% 39.0 -2.93% 38.81 3.52% 36.89 41.11
Up 0.76% 40.28 0.48% 40.17 0.87% 39.76 40.81
Down -3.93% 38.41 -3.88% 38.43 3.41% 36.36 40.46
5D Opportunity:
returns: -3.9% (-9.05%), p.close: 39.98
entry: 36.36, exit: 36.89, min.ret: 1.46%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -0.44% 39.81 0.1% 40.02 3.88% 37.48 42.13
Up 2.09% 40.82 1.46% 40.56 2.24% 39.47 42.16
Down -2.74% 38.88 -1.98% 39.19 2.93% 37.13 40.64
5D Opportunity: BUY-APPROACHING
returns: -3.9% (-7.14%), p.close: 39.98
entry: 37.13, exit: 37.48, min.ret: 0.95%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -1.71% 39.29 -2.6% 38.94 5.72% 35.86 42.73
Up 3.53% 41.39 1.25% 40.48 6.01% 37.78 44.99
Down -4.6% 38.14 -4.54% 38.17 3.98% 35.75 40.53
5D Opportunity:
returns: -3.9% (-10.57%), p.close: 39.98
entry: 35.75, exit: 35.86, min.ret: 0.3%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -0.04% 39.97 1.2% 40.46 6.81% 35.88 44.05
Up 4.25% 41.68 2.61% 41.03 5.19% 38.57 44.79
Down -3.98% 38.39 -2.46% 39.0 4.72% 35.56 41.22
5D Opportunity:
returns: -3.9% (-11.06%), p.close: 39.98
entry: 35.56, exit: 35.88, min.ret: 0.91%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 1.12% 40.43 1.27% 40.49 8.37% 35.41 45.45
Up 4.85% 41.92 3.23% 41.27 6.65% 37.93 45.91
Down -3.43% 38.61 -1.85% 39.24 4.23% 36.07 41.15
5D Opportunity: BUY-APPROACHING
returns: -3.9% (-9.78%), p.close: 39.98
entry: 36.07, exit: 35.41, min.ret: -1.84%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
2W window
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -1.15% 38.98 -1.23% 38.95 4.26% 36.45 41.5
Up 2.35% 40.36 2.31% 40.34 1.69% 39.36 41.35
Down -3.57% 38.02 -4.49% 37.66 3.23% 36.11 39.93
2W Opportunity:
returns: -2.56% (-8.41%), p.close: 39.43
entry: 36.11, exit: 36.45, min.ret: 0.94%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -1.49% 38.84 -0.84% 39.1 4.81% 36.0 41.69
Up 3.15% 40.67 2.5% 40.42 2.82% 39.0 42.34
Down -5.12% 37.41 -4.85% 37.52 4.35% 34.84 39.99
2W Opportunity:
returns: -2.56% (-11.65%), p.close: 39.43
entry: 34.84, exit: 36.0, min.ret: 3.33%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -2.81% 38.32 -3.26% 38.15 7.61% 33.82 42.82
Up 5.61% 41.64 2.54% 40.43 7.37% 37.28 46.0
Down -7.15% 36.61 -7.56% 36.45 4.67% 33.84 39.37
2W Opportunity:
returns: -2.56% (-14.16%), p.close: 39.43
entry: 33.84, exit: 33.82, min.ret: -0.06%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 0.35% 39.57 1.66% 40.09 10.48% 33.37 45.77
Up 7.24% 42.28 5.68% 41.67 7.13% 38.07 46.5
Down -6.22% 36.98 -4.52% 37.65 6.15% 33.34 40.62
2W Opportunity:
returns: -2.56% (-15.44%), p.close: 39.43
entry: 33.34, exit: 33.37, min.ret: 0.08%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 2.43% 40.39 1.85% 40.16 11.85% 33.38 47.4
Up 8.36% 42.73 6.0% 41.79 9.13% 37.33 48.13
Down -5.23% 37.37 -3.26% 38.14 5.53% 34.09 40.64
2W Opportunity:
returns: -2.56% (-13.53%), p.close: 39.43
entry: 34.09, exit: 33.38, min.ret: -2.1%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
1M window
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -7.74% 36.75 -5.5% 37.64 5.85% 33.25 40.24
Up 3.08% 41.06 1.48% 40.42 3.44% 39.0 43.11
Down -12.38% 34.9 -11.79% 35.14 6.43% 31.06 38.74
1M Opportunity:
returns: -3.54% (-22.02%), p.close: 39.83
entry: 31.06, exit: 33.25, min.ret: 7.06%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -3.16% 38.57 -3.94% 38.26 14.87% 29.69 47.45
Up 12.56% 44.83 8.04% 43.03 12.03% 37.64 52.02
Down -10.54% 35.63 -9.23% 36.15 8.46% 30.58 40.69
1M Opportunity:
returns: -3.54% (-23.23%), p.close: 39.83
entry: 30.58, exit: 29.69, min.ret: -2.91%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 1.13% 40.28 -0.79% 39.51 17.08% 30.08 50.48
Up 13.76% 45.31 13.17% 45.08 11.24% 38.6 52.02
Down -9.68% 35.98 -5.92% 37.47 9.35% 30.39 41.56
1M Opportunity:
returns: -3.54% (-23.7%), p.close: 39.83
entry: 30.39, exit: 30.08, min.ret: -1.03%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 6.24% 42.31 2.39% 40.78 19.8% 30.49 54.14
Up 16.79% 46.52 14.43% 45.58 16.08% 36.91 56.12
Down -7.5% 36.84 -4.4% 38.08 8.09% 32.01 41.68
1M Opportunity:
returns: -3.54% (-19.63%), p.close: 39.83
entry: 32.01, exit: 30.49, min.ret: -4.76%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left

NGVC's symbol current price is 38.42 (0.39%) as on . Yesterday's close was 38.27. It's return velocities are computed basis data from date .

Win Percent
Key Weighted 5D 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y
Open-High (> 1.0%) 74.52% 80.0% 72.73% 69.7% 69.7% 66.67% 64.02%
Open-Low (> 1.0%) 67.21% 80.0% 50.0% 66.67% 71.21% 67.46% 64.55%
Open-Close-Up (> 0.5%) 37.99% 40.0% 36.36% 34.85% 41.67% 41.67% 38.76%
Open-Close-Down (> 0.5%) 35.99% 40.0% 27.27% 39.39% 37.88% 40.48% 40.87%
Low-Close-Up (> 1.0%) 61.15% 60.0% 54.55% 68.18% 73.48% 71.83% 66.27%
High-Close-Down (> 1.0%) 75.01% 80.0% 72.73% 72.73% 68.18% 64.68% 65.08%

NGVC's symbol win percent is computed basis data from date