Insights for Toll Brothers, Inc.
New York Stock Exchange: TOL
08 - Losing Steam - very profitable & can fund turnaround

Based on PEG Ratio: 01 - Under Valued
Today's Price
updated on:
125.0 (2.53%)
Open 122.25 (2.25%)
High (Upside %) 125.32 (0.26%)
Low (Downside %) 121.8625 (2.57%)
P. Close 121.91 (2.53%)
Open-High % 2.51%
Open-Low % 0.32%
Low-High % 2.84%
Active Buy Quantity 0
Active Sell Quantity 0
% Overtraded
Current Mood bearish
Previous Data
data from:
Open-High % 2.2%
Open-Low % 1.83%
Low-High % 4.1%
Open-Close % 1.67%
Low-Close % 3.57%
High-Close % 0.52%

TOL is a Stock listed in the US on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker 'TOL'

Company Summary

Business Units or Product Lines

Toll Brothers, Inc. operates primarily in the luxury homebuilding sector. Its business units include Traditional Home Building, which develops luxury residential communities, and Urban Infill, which focuses on high-density, luxury urban homes and condominiums. Additionally, the company has a financial services segment that provides mortgage financing to homebuyers through its subsidiary, TBI Mortgage Company.

Business Models for Each Product Line

Toll Brothers generates revenue by selling constructed luxury homes, which is the primary revenue stream. The Urban Infill segment also generates income through condominium sales. Major expenses include land acquisition, construction costs, marketing, and administrative expenses. The financial services arm contributes to overall revenue by earning fees from originating mortgages and selling them in the secondary market.

Future Opportunities for Growth

Opportunities for growth include expanding into new geographic markets, leveraging brand reputation to capture a larger share of the luxury home market, and diversifying through strategic acquisitions. The ongoing demand for luxury residences in urban areas presents significant potential for its Urban Infill segment. Additionally, the company's investment in smart home technology and sustainable building practices could cater to evolving consumer preferences.

Potential Major Risks

Major risks include fluctuations in the housing market, which can be influenced by economic downturns, changes in interest rates, or regulatory changes. Supply chain disruptions and rising material costs can impact construction timelines and profitability. Additionally, reliance on luxury homebuyers makes it vulnerable to shifts in consumer spending among its target demographic.

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Also read: https://finance.yahoo.com/TOL/profile

Predicted Prices
Key Low (open) Low (high) Close-Down (open) Close-Down (high) Close-Up (open) Close-Up (low) High (open) High (low)
Low Volatility 121.77
46.65% hit
123.77
53.42% hit
121.86
16.52% hit
124.82
43.46% hit
122.59
18.71% hit
122.16
45.59% hit
122.53
45.39% hit
123.39
53.42% hit
Average Volatility 120.33
30.79% hit
121.82
36.1% hit
120.23
15.13% hit
123.51
33.31% hit
123.76
15.39% hit
123.71
33.24% hit
123.98
32.38% hit
125.36
36.1% hit
High Volatility 116.5
3.52% hit
118.16
3.98% hit
117.06
3.38% hit
119.35
3.58% hit
126.64
4.11% hit
127.72
3.78% hit
127.88
3.85% hit
129.25
3.98% hit

TOL's predicted prices using open from of 122.25 and data until date . Current Price is 125.0

Basic Stats
Market Cap-Display Market Cap-Actual Market Cap Enterprise Value-Display Enterprise Value-Actual Enterprise Value Trailing P/E Forward P/E PEG Ratio (5yr expected) Price/Sales Price/Book Enterprise Value/Revenue Enterprise Value/EBITDA Profit Margin Operating Margin Return on Assets Return on Equity Revenue-Display Revenue-Actual Revenue Quarterly Revenue Growth EBITDA-Display EBITDA-Actual EBITDA Diluted EPS Quarterly Earnings Growth Total Cash-Display Total Cash-Actual Total Cash Total Debt-Display Total Debt-Actual Total Debt Total Debt/Equity Current Ratio Operating Cash Flow-Display Operating Cash Flow-Actual Operating Cash Flow Levered Free Cash Flow-Display Levered Free Cash Flow-Actual Levered Free Cash Flow % Held by Insiders % Held by Institutions
11.97 B 11969246208.0 11.97 14.23 B 14228030464.0 14.23 9.06 8.34 0.91 1.12 1.51 1.33 7.4 12.95% 16.78% 8.37% 18.06% 10.66 B 10659613696.0 10.66 -3.5% 1.92 B 1922451968.0 1.92 13.45 -26.8% 690.0 mn 686465984.0 0.69 2.93 B 2929561088.0 2.93 0.3678 3.99 800.0 mn 800193984.0 0.8 420.0 mn 420250240.0 0.42 0.74% 93.42%

source:https://finance.yahoo.com/TOL/key-statistics

Upside-Downside Spread
Key Weighted 5D 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 10Y
Upside % (high) 3.57% -0.49% (124.39) 2.1% (127.62) 2.1% (127.62) 12.92% (141.15) 35.62% (169.52) 35.62% (169.52) 35.62% (169.52)
Downside % (low) 15.1% 6.0% (117.5) 9.18% (113.52) 21.49% (98.1426) 30.66% (86.67) 30.66% (86.67) 68.38% (39.53) 89.38% (13.28)
Spread % -11.54% -6.49% -7.09% -19.39% -17.74% 4.95% -32.76% -53.76%

TOL's price used for computing the stats is 125.0 as on date

Cumulative Return Percent
Key Today 5D 2W 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 10Y
Last Price-Trend PrevClose 2.53% 1.59% 6.93% 5.95% 23.62% -8.22% -12.64% 155.05% 230.95%
Last Price 125.0 125.0 125.0 125.0 125.0 125.0 125.0 125.0 125.0
Trend-Previous Close 121.91 123.04 116.9 117.98 101.12 136.2 143.09 49.01 37.77

TOL's symbol cumulative return percent is computed basis data from date

Return Velocity
5D 2W 1M 3M 6M 1Y
5D window
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -1.47% 121.23 -2.94% 119.42 4.37% 113.15 129.3
Up 1.92% 125.4 0.23% 123.32 3.77% 118.43 132.36
Down -3.23% 119.06 -3.47% 118.77 2.08% 115.23 122.89
5D Opportunity:
returns: 1.59% (7.58%), p.close: 123.04
entry: 132.36, exit: 129.3, min.ret: 2.32%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 1.98% 125.48 1.73% 125.17 5.78% 114.82 136.14
Up 4.57% 128.67 4.23% 128.25 4.71% 119.97 137.36
Down -2.18% 120.35 -1.92% 120.68 2.21% 116.27 124.44
5D Opportunity:
returns: 1.59% (11.64%), p.close: 123.04
entry: 137.36, exit: 136.14, min.ret: 0.89%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 1.44% 124.81 2.24% 125.8 4.66% 116.21 133.41
Up 4.1% 128.09 4.46% 128.53 3.61% 121.42 134.76
Down -2.27% 120.25 -1.34% 121.4 2.44% 115.74 124.75
5D Opportunity:
returns: 1.59% (9.52%), p.close: 123.04
entry: 134.76, exit: 133.41, min.ret: 1.0%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 1.57% 124.97 1.87% 125.34 3.74% 118.07 131.87
Up 3.61% 127.48 3.58% 127.44 2.76% 122.38 132.59
Down -1.66% 120.99 -0.91% 121.92 1.97% 117.35 124.63
5D Opportunity:
returns: 1.59% (7.76%), p.close: 123.04
entry: 132.59, exit: 131.87, min.ret: 0.54%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -0.3% 122.67 -0.1% 122.92 4.77% 113.87 131.47
Up 2.75% 126.42 2.53% 126.15 2.67% 121.5 131.35
Down -2.91% 119.47 -1.91% 120.68 3.2% 113.56 125.37
5D Opportunity:
returns: 1.59% (6.75%), p.close: 123.04
entry: 131.35, exit: 131.47, min.ret: -0.09%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -0.11% 122.9 -0.04% 122.99 5.23% 113.25 132.55
Up 2.86% 126.56 2.04% 125.55 3.05% 120.92 132.19
Down -2.81% 119.58 -1.59% 121.08 3.34% 113.42 125.73
5D Opportunity:
returns: 1.59% (7.44%), p.close: 123.04
entry: 132.19, exit: 132.55, min.ret: -0.27%
Using: 5D trend, 0 Days Left
2W window
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 3.34% 120.81 2.83% 120.21 2.94% 115.66 125.96
Up 6.88% 124.95 7.05% 125.14 2.43% 120.69 129.21
Down -2.99% 113.41 -2.46% 114.02 2.8% 108.51 118.31
2W Opportunity: SELL-APPROACHING
returns: 6.93% (10.53%), p.close: 116.9
entry: 129.21, exit: 125.96, min.ret: 2.52%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 4.3% 121.93 4.15% 121.75 4.49% 114.05 129.81
Up 7.52% 125.69 7.37% 125.51 3.28% 119.93 131.44
Down -2.07% 114.48 -0.87% 115.88 2.42% 110.24 118.73
2W Opportunity:
returns: 6.93% (12.44%), p.close: 116.9
entry: 131.44, exit: 129.81, min.ret: 1.24%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 3.73% 121.26 3.64% 121.15 4.02% 114.22 128.31
Up 6.16% 124.1 6.22% 124.17 3.15% 118.57 129.63
Down -1.88% 114.7 -1.02% 115.7 1.97% 111.24 118.16
2W Opportunity: SELL-APPROACHING
returns: 6.93% (10.89%), p.close: 116.9
entry: 129.63, exit: 128.31, min.ret: 1.02%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -0.25% 116.61 0.29% 117.24 7.15% 104.07 129.15
Up 4.52% 122.18 4.08% 121.66 3.54% 115.98 128.39
Down -4.46% 111.68 -3.08% 113.3 4.73% 103.39 119.98
2W Opportunity: SELL-APPROACHING
returns: 6.93% (9.83%), p.close: 116.9
entry: 128.39, exit: 129.15, min.ret: -0.59%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -0.1% 116.78 0.61% 117.62 7.5% 103.64 129.93
Up 4.76% 122.47 4.08% 121.66 4.02% 115.42 129.52
Down -4.3% 111.87 -2.55% 113.92 5.02% 103.07 120.67
2W Opportunity: SELL-APPROACHING
returns: 6.93% (10.79%), p.close: 116.9
entry: 129.52, exit: 129.93, min.ret: -0.32%
Using: 2W trend, 0 Days Left
1M window
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 9.7% 129.42 9.1% 128.72 4.44% 121.56 137.28
Up 13.07% 133.4 12.4% 132.6 2.84% 128.38 138.43
Down -1.97% 115.65 -1.4% 116.33 1.95% 112.2 119.11
1M Opportunity:
returns: 5.95% (17.33%), p.close: 117.98
entry: 138.43, exit: 137.28, min.ret: 0.83%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 7.1% 126.36 6.93% 126.15 5.69% 116.28 136.44
Up 10.11% 129.9 10.05% 129.83 4.95% 121.14 138.67
Down -2.92% 114.54 -1.67% 116.01 4.04% 107.38 121.69
1M Opportunity:
returns: 5.95% (17.54%), p.close: 117.98
entry: 138.67, exit: 136.44, min.ret: 1.61%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall -0.48% 117.41 2.28% 120.66 10.77% 98.34 136.47
Up 7.25% 126.53 7.46% 126.78 5.48% 116.83 136.23
Down -7.3% 109.37 -3.77% 113.53 7.1% 96.81 121.93
1M Opportunity:
returns: 5.95% (15.47%), p.close: 117.98
entry: 136.23, exit: 136.47, min.ret: -0.18%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left
Metric Mean Median Stdev
Overall 0.33% 118.36 2.64% 121.1 10.94% 99.0 137.73
Up 8.2% 127.65 7.64% 126.99 6.39% 116.35 138.95
Down -6.81% 109.94 -3.77% 113.53 7.11% 97.37 122.52
1M Opportunity:
returns: 5.95% (17.78%), p.close: 117.98
entry: 138.95, exit: 137.73, min.ret: 0.88%
Using: 1M trend, 0 Days Left

TOL's symbol current price is 125.0 (2.53%) as on . Yesterday's close was 121.91. It's return velocities are computed basis data from date .

Win Percent
Key Weighted 5D 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y
Open-High (> 1.0%) 56.6% 60.0% 50.0% 59.09% 59.09% 55.95% 57.41%
Open-Low (> 1.0%) 47.52% 40.0% 50.0% 54.55% 58.33% 56.35% 50.26%
Open-Close-Up (> 0.5%) 41.46% 40.0% 40.91% 45.45% 43.18% 38.1% 39.81%
Open-Close-Down (> 0.5%) 30.48% 20.0% 40.91% 31.82% 40.15% 38.1% 34.66%
Low-Close-Up (> 1.0%) 50.48% 40.0% 54.55% 62.12% 59.85% 54.37% 53.44%
High-Close-Down (> 1.0%) 53.81% 60.0% 50.0% 46.97% 55.3% 54.76% 50.4%

TOL's symbol win percent is computed basis data from date